The publishing world hasn't escaped the economic difficulties that have
affected everything else lately, and publishers, booksellers and authors don't
seem to be in line for a government bailout. But how might the current economic
climate affect the kinds of books that are available and where you'll buy
books? On a trip to New York last month, I got to hear from a number of
publishing industry insiders, and here's what I managed to glean.
To start with, the news isn't all bad. Yes, there has been some decline in
sales overall, but most of the decline has come in hardcover fiction. The sales
of mass market paperbacks, especially in genres like romance and fantasy,
actually went up last year. However, a lot of the sales increase can be
attributed to a few really big books, so the market is very tiered, with the
really big books, and then everyone else. That may mean that authors who fall
in the "everyone else" group may have difficulty getting books published, but
agents report that publishers are still buying books from debut authors.
Where people buy books is starting to shift. Amazon is steadily growing, while
the major chains are having financial troubles. Borders is in serious
difficulty and is closing stores. A major book distribution company has folded,
so books may not even be getting to some outlets, like grocery stores or
drugstores. With increasing availability of e-readers, e-books are starting to
make a real impact on the industry. All of those trends point to potential
change, but the experts aren't yet sure what the industry will do in response
to these trends.
You may be seeing more of your favorite authors online, as publishers are
cutting back on their marketing and authors are having to pick up the slack.
Because the Internet is a cost-effective promotional tool, authors are doing
things like blogging, posting to Twitter and maintaining Facebook and MySpace
pages. The challenge for authors is to do all that while still writing books.
As for the kinds of books that may be coming, paranormal -- whether in the form
of paranormal romance or urban fantasy -- seems to still be going strong, as
many of the adult readers today are the kids who grew up with books like the
Goosebumps series, and then there are all those Twilight readers. Some agents
predict that difficult economic times will lead to a return to popularity for
the "home and hearth" kind of books that focus on families, emotion and
nostalgia. Other industry experts see a possible comeback for classic forms of
romance, like the contemporary single title or the traditional historical
romance -- comfort zones for readers. Genres are continuing to blend, with more
combinations of standard genres to create entirely new genres.
But remember, it's generally about a year or more between the time a book sells
and the time it hits store shelves, so you may not see these trends until next
year.
Until next time ... Shanna
Shanna
Swendson writes "Fairy Tales for Modern Times" and is the author of the
Enchanted, Inc. series about a Texan in New York City, a magical NYC.
Visit her website or blog for more information.
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