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Improbable

Improbable, February 2005
by Adam Fawer

HarperCollins
Featuring: David Caine
400 pages
ISBN: 0060736771
Hardcover
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"Entertaining page-turner with some dark elements."

Fresh Fiction Review

Improbable
Adam Fawer

Reviewed by Alan Ewing
Posted June 20, 2005

Thriller

IMPROBABLE follows the unlikely series of events that transpire in the life of David Caine as he attempts to juggle a gambling addiction, temporal lobe epilepsy and savant like abilities in the field of statistics. Here's a synopsis of the story without providing a spoiler: As a result of trying to gather the money to payoff a debt to Russian mobsters he lands in a web of intrigue that involves CIA, FBI, NSA, North Koreans, and rogue elements of the Columbia Statistical Sciences Department. The remaining cast of characters are epic in scope and include a cold blooded CIA agent (who is actually a KGB sleeper agent of whom Mother Russia has lost track), David's schizophrenic twin brother, some Russian mobsters, a gang of poker players, a former FBI agent gone freelance, a corrupt NSA administrator, David's graduate school advisor, a lotto jackpot winner, a moonstruck female grad student, a "means justify the ends" mad scientist, a skatepunk-hipster-hacker working for the NSA, a team of stereotypical special forces goons and the passengers of Amtrak Train 183 to Washington, DC. Sprinkle liberally with quantum mechanics, probability theory, psuedo-psychology and eastern mysticism and you've got a pretty good idea of what to expect.

In general, I found the book to be a rather engaging and entertaining page-turner. As good, light entertainment (albeit with some very dark elements) this seems to hit the mark. I was left feeling, however, that the book could have delivered more. For me the three areas that undermined the story's ability to suspend disbelief were: the transition of the rogue CIA agent from stone-cold killer to champion, the treatment of how omniscience presents itself upon an individual's personality and the gimmicky reveal of the true villain.

Redemption is a classic theme that finds itself in many of the best stories on paper. Redemption stories give us reason to hope that no matter how far we stray off of the path, there must be a way back. When an evil character suddenly decides to become "good" there needs to be some noble motivation - a newfound respect for life, the discovery of true love, or at least a psychotic break. For the rogue CIA agent, Nava, we have none of that. She moves from a character that would think nothing of killing 20 people because they were in front of her in line at the movies, to a character that is the champion of the helpless and downtrodden David Caine. She's not in love with Caine, she's still willing to decapitate anyone that looks at her cross-eyed and she's seems fully in touch with her faculties, so the reader is left wondering... why?

Omniscience. Further explanation would seem unnecessary. Once you gain the access to the complete knowledge base of the universe it should be game over for the bad guys. You know all, you see all - and there really isn't any downside. You certainly wouldn't allow yourself to be placed in a position where you couldn't use your superpower; Superman certainly wouldn't hand Lex Luthor a set of kryptonite handcuffs. David, however, allows the bad guys to capture him and then do the one thing that can keep him from logging into the big crystal ball - they keep him from closing his eyes. Yes, gentle reader, you read that right. You can have total wisdom, but only if you can blink.

Now for the villain reveal - I won't ruin the books big got-ya here. I should say that my eyes made an audible noise when I rolled them after reading about the villain's secret identity.

In general, not a bad read, especially for a first effort. The action keeps the story moving and there is enough intrigue to make the reader wonder what's next. If you can overcome some of the loose ends, you will enjoy it... probably.

Learn more about Improbable

SUMMARY

After nightfall, David Caine inhabits a world of risk, obsession, rich rewards, and sudden, destructive downfalls. A compulsive gambler possessing a brilliant mathematical mind -- and an uncanny ability to calculate odds in the blink of an eye -- he prowls the underground poker clubs of Manhattan, winning more than he loses. But Caine is a man prone to crippling epileptic incidents -- and one night he makes a costly miscalculation, suffering the most intense seizure he has ever experienced. And his life spins madly out of control.

Desperate to regain his equilibrium, he agrees to test an experimental drug with unnerving side effects. Suddenly he is having visions of the past, present, and future; either peering through a window into an alternate reality or teetering on the precipice of a psychotic breakdown. Chemistry and destiny have colluded to grant David Caine the astonishing ability to foresee the consequences of his actions and the probability of various outcomes, both good andterrible.

But with his "gift" comes grave danger, for he is not the only one who knows his secret. Frightening powers operating from the shadows now want him for their own, forcing Caine to seek help from a most improbable ally -- a beautiful rogue CIA agent skilled in the death arts -- on a desperate race for survival with his sanity hanging by the slenderest of threads.


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